Home Buying Frenzy and Mortgage Demand Continues Heading Into October

Home Buying Frenzy and Mortgage Demand Continues Heading Into October

Home Buying Frenzy and Mortgage Demand Continues Heading Into October: The COVID-19 crisis has driven interest rates, up until now, to unimaginable levels as the Fed scrambles to stimulate the economy. Mortgage demand continues to climb as a buying frenzy extends beyond traditional seasonal patterns in real estate. Applications to purchase a home are now 25% higher than a year ago according to a report by the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Not Enough Houses for Sale to Meet Growing Need

Over the last few years, shortages in houses for sale have been problematic in the housing industry, but the situation has grown even worse in recent months. Buyers are actively searching for and purchasing homes, looking to capitalize on today’s historically low-interest rates, but there are just not enough houses for sale to meet the growing need. 

Since the start of the pandemic in March, there have been nearly 400,000 fewer homes listed than the same time period in 2019. That has created a huge deficit in the housing supply at a time when consumers are rushing to buy. Home prices are increasing at double the pace of last year, and homes are selling 12 days faster than in 2019, according to a Realtor.com® Weekly Housing Report.

Low Rates Have Ignited Robust Purchase Demand Activity

“Sellers are more reluctant to list their home, given the uncertainty over the economy and the pandemic environment,” says Javier Vivas, director of economic research for Realtor.com®. “Buyers, on the other hand—especially hungry first-timers—remain largely unfazed by the challenges and are motivated by low mortgage rates and the fear of missing out on the right home.”

“Mortgage rates have hit another record low due to a late-summer slowdown in the economic recovery…These low rates have ignited robust purchase demand activity…However, heading into the fall, it will be difficult to sustain the growth momentum in purchases because the lack of supply is already exhibiting a constraint on sales activity,” says Sam Khater, Chief Economist at Freddie Mac.

Despite higher home prices and tight supply, homebuyers continue to flood the market with the strongest sales on the high end of the market as consumers seek larger spaces for working from home. That is also where the supply available for sale is greatest. Yun says this pattern “will be in place long after the pandemic is over.” Existing-home prices for all housing types in August climbed 11.4% compared to a year ago, reaching a median of $310,600.

Housing Indicators from August 2020

A closer look at housing indicators from August, according to NAR’s latest report:

  • Days on the market: 69% of homes sold in August were on the market for less than a month. Properties stayed on the market an average of 22 days in August, which is down from 31 days a year prior.
  • Housing inventories: Total housing inventory at the end of August was 1.49 million, which is down 18.6% from a year ago (1.83 million). Unsold inventory is at a three-month supply at the current sales pace.
  • First-time buyers: First-time homebuyers accounted for 33% of home sales in August, which is up from 31% a year before.
  • Investors and second-home buyers: Investors or second-home buyers purchased 14% of homes in August, which is equal to a year ago. Investors and second-home buyers tend to make up the biggest bulk of all-cash sales, which accounted for 18% of transactions in August, down from 19% in August of last year.
  • Distressed sales: Foreclosures and short sales represented less than 1% of sales in August, which is down from 2% from last year.

Mortgage Rate Trends As Predicted by Housing Authorities

September held the lowest rates of all time and housing agencies nationwide are calling for rates in the low 3s through year-end.

Agency

30-Yr Rate Prediction

Wells Fargo

2.95%

Fannie Mae

3.00%

Freddie Mac

3.20%

National Assoc. of Home Builders

3.34%

Mortgage Bankers Assoc.

3.50%

National Assoc. of Realtors

3.10%

Average of all agencies

3.18%

“Home sales continue to amaze, and there are plenty of buyers in the pipeline ready to enter the market,” says Yun. “Further gains in sales are likely for the remainder of the year, with mortgage rates hovering around 3%, and with continued job recovery.“

Partner with Top-rated Farmington Hills MI REALTOR® -Tom Gilliam

2020 Best of Farmington Hills REALTOR - Tom GilliamWhether you are interested in buying a home in Farmington Hills, MI, or its time to list your current property, experience matters most in a changing market.

With over 20 years of local experience, Farmington Hills REALTOR® – Tom Gilliam offers in-depth knowledge of the local market and has access to the most up-to-date listings. Known for his professionalism, Tom is an expert at uncovering the perfect home for his clients’ lifestyle needs in the right neighborhood or community.

Search Farmington Hill MI homes for sale

For sellers, Tom will create a comprehensive marketing plan that exposes your home to the public as well as to other real estate agents through the Multiple Listing Service (MLS), other cooperative marketing networks, open houses for agents, and so on.

Your listing will appear on all the most popular real estate sites where buyers spend hours a day looking at homes such as Realtor.com, Zillow, Trulia, REMAX, Redfin, and dozens of others. Your property will also be featured on Tom’s own highly-trafficked website Homes2moveyou.com. You can be assured that your home will get sold quickly and for the highest market price.  

Tom works very hard for his clients. He will protect your interests and be your guide and advisor throughout the home buying or selling process. If you or someone you know is interested in real estate in Farmington Hills MI, please give Tom Gilliam a call at (248) 790-5594 or you can reach him here.

Tom Gilliam, REALTOR®
RE/MAX Classic
29630 Orchard Lake Rd.
Farmington Hills 48334
Direct: 248-790-5594
Office: 248-737-6800
Email: Tom @ Homes2MoveYou.com
License #314578

Article Sources: 
https://magazine.realtor/daily-news/2020/09/24/inventory-is-way-down-from-last-year
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/23/mortgage-demand-from-homebuyers-now-up-25percent-from-a-year-ago.html
https://www.keepingcurrentmatters.com/2020/09/17/how-low-inventory-may-impact-the-housing-market-this-fall/
https://themortgagereports.com/32667/mortgage-rates-forecast-fha-va-usda-conventional
https://magazine.realtor/daily-news/2020/09/24/as-fall-hits-homebuying-frenzy-remains-in-full-swing
https://freddiemac.gcs-web.com/node/20771/pdf

 

How Will The 2020 Presidential Election Affect The Housing Market?

How Will The 2020 Presidential Election Affect The Housing Market?

How will the 2020 presidential election affect the housing market?

Most people will agree that 2020 will be remembered as one of the most challenging years of our lives. A coronavirus pandemic, a recession with historic unemployment, and a level of social unrest perhaps never seen before have all changed the way we currently live – and what has been coined “the new normal.”

As the upcoming election approaches, we can also expect to see home sales scale back, based on expert analyses of previous election years. Research and industry experts agree that the closer the election gets, the more likely its effects on the housing market, regardless of who the candidates are. In general, presidential races breed uncertainty, which alters attitudes among residential home buyers, sellers, and investors. 

How predictable the outcome of a presidential election appears to be can also influence real estate sentiments 

“When an incumbent arises as a likely winner, cementing the continuation of familiar policies, the housing market may experience fewer jitters,” says Arlene Reed, a real estate agent with Warburg Realty in New York City. When the election result evades easy forecasts, “people get a little tentative,” Reed says. “There’s some uncertainty how the new president’s policies will affect the economy, the stock market, taxes.”  

Analysis of the past 13 presidential election cycles and their effect on new home sales 

In a recent Meyers Research Group analysis, it was found that over the past 13 Presidential election cycles, the median change in new home sales activity from October to November fell 15%, whereas in the year after an election, the median change in sales was 8%.

According to the Meyers report, in non-presidential years, there is a -9.8% decrease in November compared to October. This is the normal seasonality of the market, with a slowdown in activity that’s usually seen in fall and winter. 

In fact, the year after a presidential election is the best of the four-year cycle. This suggests that demand for new housing is not lost because of election uncertainty. Rather, it gets pushed out to the following year.

“This caution is temporary, and ultimately results in deferred sales, as the economy, jobs, interest rates, and consumer confidence all have far more meaningful roles in the home purchase decision than a presidential election result in the months that follow,” said Ali Wolf, director of economic research for Meyers Research.

“In December [following an election], and in the following year, the sales that are lost during November are recovered. It isn’t that consumers say, ‘I’m nervous, and I never want to buy.’ They say, ‘I’m nervous. Let’s just wait to see how things play out.’” says Wolf. 

The takeaway

It’s a good idea to keep an eye on elections if you are in the housing market to buy or sell, but elections typically don’t affect the housing market in the long run.

Partner with top-rated Farmington Hills MI REALTOR® – Tom Gilliam

2020 Best of Farmington Hills REALTOR - Tom GilliamWith over 20 years of real estate experience, Tom Gilliam provides the kind of knowledge, skills, dedication, and personalized service you need and deserve when buying or selling a home. As your personal agent, Tom will protect your interests,  advocate for you, and go the extra mile to ensure a smooth and successful transaction. 

Search Farmington Hill MI homes for sale

If you or someone you know is interested in buying or selling Farmington Hills MI real estate, please give Tom Gilliam a call today at (248) 790-5594. 

Tom Gilliam, REALTOR®
RE/MAX Classic 
29630 Orchard Lake Rd.
Farmington Hills 48334
Direct: 248-790-5594
Office: 248-737-6800
Email: Tom @ Homes2MoveYou.com
License #314578

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Urban Dwellers Are Choosing To Move To The Suburbs

Urban Dwellers Are Choosing To Move To The Suburbs

Urban Dwellers are Choosing To Move To The Suburbs – Urban trends of the last 50 years are showing signs of being reversed. A combination of the coronavirus pandemic, economic uncertainty, and social unrest is prompting folks to move from large cities and permanently relocate to more sparsely populated areas.

Metropolitan areas across the U.S. are experiencing residents of all ages and incomes moving in record numbers to suburban areas and small towns – places where social distancing is more of a built-in part of everyday life. The trend has been accelerated by shifting attitudes and technology that makes it easier than ever to work remotely.  

According to data from a recent Harris Poll survey, nearly a third of Americans are considering moving to less densely populated areas as a result of the pandemic. “Space now means something more than square feet,” Harris Poll CEO John Gerzema said. “Already beset by high rents and clogged streets, the virus is now forcing urbanites to consider social distancing as a lifestyle.”

Urbanites (43%) were twice as likely than suburban (26%) and rural (21%) dwellers to have recently browsed a real estate website for homes and apartments to rent or buy, the survey showed.  

The shifts happening during this pandemic are not only challenging and far-reaching, but they could continue long after a vaccine or treatment is found. “People will be much more cautious about living in high-density areas with so many people nearby,” predicts Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors.  

More than half of the nation’s 100 largest metropolitan areas are seeing increased interest in the suburbs.  Recent data from Realtor.com suggests people are interested in moving and there seems to be an increasing appeal in properties outside of cities. 

Realtor.com figures, which compared this June to June of 2019, found that homes in rural and suburban zip codes saw the biggest jump in average views per property. Homes in urban zip codes had a 19% increase in views compared to last year. But homes in suburban zip codes had a much larger 30%  jump. Homes in rural zip codes saw a 34% increase in views.

Although property views are not sales, these numbers do reflect at least an interest in getting out of the most densely packed areas and into communities that are more spread out. The demand for homes is fuelled not only by fears that coronavirus infections in densely populated urban areas could rise again next winter but also by fundamental shifts in demand from in-office to remote workers. 

Many experts say that It’s not yet clear how the pandemic will reshape cities in the long run, but it has definitely accelerated trends that were already underway before the coronavirus outbreak. If the allure of cities declines further due to the risk of disease, an uncertain economy, and a future of telework, the flight to suburbia and rural safety will continue well after a coronavirus vaccine or treatment becomes available.

Partner with Top-rated Farmington Hills MI REALTOR® – Tom Gilliam 

2020 Best of Farmington Hills REALTOR - Tom GilliamA top-rated Farmington Hills and Oakland County MI real estate agent like Tom Gilliam can show you more properties and save you thousands of dollars when buying a home. You need an agent who knows the area, processes a vast network of local connections, and has the skills to negotiate like a pro.

From first-time homebuyers to multi-million dollar investors, Tom continually strives to provide top quality service for his clients. With access to the most up-to-date MLS listings for Farmington Hills and Oakland County MI properties, Tom is able to match his clients’ lifestyle needs with the perfect home.

If you are ready to list your current property, Tom has the experience and skills necessary to handle the marketing and sale of your home. Tom employs the latest technology to deliver massive exposure that will drive mega-response from qualified buyers.   

Search the MLS for Properties in Farmington Hills MI

With over 25 years of local real estate experience, Tom will protect your interests and work hard for you in order to ensure a smooth and successful transaction. If you or someone you know is interested in buying or selling Farmington Hills MI real estate, please give top-rated Farmington Hills MI REALTOR® Tom Gilliam a call today at 248-790-5594 or you can get in touch here.

Tom Gilliam, REALTOR®
RE/MAX Classic
29630 Orchard Lake Rd.
Farmington Hills 48334
Call: 248-790-5594
Office: 248-737-6800
Email: Tom @ Homes2MoveYou.com
License #314578

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